BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN+ 9 DRAFTKINGS BREAKDOWN

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  • Postado em 15 de setembro, 2019


    This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight card in Canada. DraftKings has some strong contests for us to win a lot of money from this week. The main GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of 100k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they’ll compete for a $50k first location price and $175k will be distributed between all 100 entries that qualify. I will try to get my 2nd seat this week if at all possible. Those Qualifier only competitions can be real bankroll suckers, so be careful chasing those too hard. I will probably stick to the very best GPP this week and throw a small number of entries at that $25k decoration, and then I will likely have a couple shots in the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a fantastic amount of drama into money games.
    With that said, let us get into a couple plays I enjoy this week Together with my fade of the week:
    Cash Game play of this week — Macy Chiasson — $9,400
    Macy Chiasson is by far the safest play in the board this week and she has 100+ stage upside down. She is a lock within my money games this week and I actually don’t really see how she loses. I think a entry could be Moras’ best chance but she is not very capable of finding the fight to the ground, so I see her getting dominated on the feet until the ref steps in. She’s by far my favourite play at the 9k range and she is a -750 on the gambling line. I like playing with it safer in money games and I believe she’s a secure win this week.
    GPP play of the week — Greg Hardy- $8,600
    This is an easy one for me this week and he will be the chalk of this week. I’ll still be obese on Merab though. His style is precisely what we need on DraftKings. He’s got a nonstop speed and he shoots takedowns very often. He’s 22 landed takedowns in his initial 3 UFC fights and that is his very best path to success in this matchup as well. Despite two losses on his album from those 3 conflicts, he averages more DK points than Katona does with his 2-0 UFC record. This is not my GPP drama of the week because I understand he’s going to win, I only know IF he wins he will score highly, and that he should easily reach value on an $8.6k price .
    Underdog drama of the week — Donald’Cowboy’ Cerrone — $7,800
    I must pick Cowboy as the puppy of the week. His fights are always action packed along with the winner of the fight will definitely be on the first-place lineup. Particularly if it is Cowboy. He almost always scores over 100 points in his wins and he has 5-rounds to work with here. I really don’t see a circumstance in which he wins and does not wind up on the $25k lineup. I’ll be obese on Saturdays this week, however this really is an all-in fight for me. If Cowboy is not in one of my lineups, you then will see Iaquinta there. I’m heavier on the Cowboy side though and I believe he gets the work done by submission.
    Fade of the week — Elias Theodorou ($8,000)
    I would be quite surprised to see Theodorou about the 1st place lineup this week. I would be amazed to see him get 10x his $8k cost and that is the reason why I will have zero lineups with him this week. Not counting his struggle with Dan Kelly, his 4 wins before that scored 76, 69, 64, and 49. His style is simply bad for DraftKings. He is going to need to knock Brunson out if he’s going to score tremendously and that he is not a power puncher. I think you’re better off carrying Elias by TKO on the betting line at +870. I really don’t see any reason to spend in him this week at GPPs since he doesn’t have the ceiling we would like to win that large $25k. I think he’s fine in money games as a 65-point win would not kill us there. However he is an easy fade of the week for me this Saturday.
    Thanks for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown each struggle on the card and also give my full DraftKings evaluation, as well as all of my pick predictions, you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
    (Premium stakes are offered at that link as well. I am 71-45 to get +233.79u (+$23,379) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)

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